The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Hit Record Highs -- but Wall Street's 2 Biggest Risk Factors Keep Getting Worse
View original at nasdaq.comThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Just Hit Record Highs -- but Wall Street's 2 Biggest Risk Factors Keep Getting Worse Key Points In less than three weeks, the Nasdaq Composite's correction and the S&P 500's pullback were completely erased…
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60% confidenceThe near-term outlook for the stock market continues to worsen, despite the strength that the major indexes have exhibited over the last couple of weeks
60% confidenceThe odds have shifted away from the FOMC cutting rates in 2026 to raising them before the year ends
60% confidenceThe Strait of Hormuz closure represents the largest energy supply disruption in modern history
60% confidenceThe inflationary effects of President Donald Trump's actions are likely to ripple through the economy for some time
60% confidenceThere is one little-known company called an 'Indispensable Monopoly' providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need
60% confidenceEven if the Iran conflict ends quickly, inflationary effects are likely to ripple through the U.S. economy for several quarters to come
60% confidenceWhen the S&P 500's Shiller P/E becomes extended to current levels, declines of at least 20%, if not substantially more, have become the expectation based on history
60% confidenceA historically expensive stock market just became even pricier
60% confidenceInvestors are anticipating a quick end to the Iran war
60% confidence
Data points we hold from this source
| S&P 500 · total return comparison | 199 percent |
| S&P 500 · shiller pe ratio | 40.57 ratio |
| S&P 500 · shiller pe ratio historical average | 17.35 ratio |
| Dow Jones Industrial Average · distance from record close | 3 percent |