Century Aluminum projects Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $170M-$180M while advancing Mt. Holly expansion
View original at seekingalpha.comCentury Aluminum projects Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $170M-$180M while advancing Mt…
What we drew from this source
The claims Via News extracted from this document. We point to the source; we don't replace it.
Net sales for Q3 2025 were $632 million, a $4 million increase primarily due to higher realized Midwest premium, partially offset by lower shipments
80% confidenceJamalco weathered Hurricane Melissa catastrophic storm, protecting the refinery from any significant damage and most importantly, without suffering a single injury
80% confidenceMt. Holly restart total project spend should be somewhere in the neighborhood of $50 million, with the additional volume generating about $25 million in additional EBITDA per quarter
80% confidenceProduction has restarted at Jamalco refinery and full production is expected to resume within weeks with no material financial impact from the storm
80% confidenceAdjusted EBITDA was $101 million for Q3 2025, mainly driven by the increased Midwest premium price
80% confidenceThere is a clear stated preference for buybacks as the most likely form of capital return once targets are reached
80% confidenceQ4 anticipated increases in both LME and Midwest premiums will contribute approximately $65 million incremental EBITDA over Q3 levels
80% confidenceQ3 2025 reported net income was $15 million or $0.15 per share, with adjusted net income of $58 million or $0.56 per share excluding exceptional items
80% confidenceInsurance policy limits are high enough to cover both the property and business interruption costs of the Grundartangi outage up to and including the 11-12 month timeline
80% confidenceManagement maintains net debt target of $300 million, anticipating reaching this goal early in 2026
80% confidenceThe Supreme Court case does not affect Section 232 tariffs
80% confidenceMt. Holly restart is expected to begin in Q2 2026 and be completed by the end of June, with production ramping up throughout the second quarter
80% confidenceAt current realized prices, we expect Q4 adjusted EBITDA in the range of $170 million to $180 million
80% confidenceTimeline for Grundartangi restart is dependent on how quickly replacement transformers can be manufactured, shipped and installed, with current estimates at 11 to 12 months
80% confidenceWe now expect that we will see an approximately $0.05 year-over-year increase across our 2026 billet sales, which should generate an additional $30 million of 2026 EBITDA
80% confidenceCentury Aluminum is exploring repairs to reduce Grundartangi downtime and expects insurance coverage for these losses
80% confidenceOutstanding global market conditions exist with rising aluminum prices and persistently challenged supply side dynamics
80% confidenceThe company is not for sale. We are very excited about our prospects
80% confidence
Cited in these Via News reports
- Corporations Refinance $3.2 Billion Debt as Global Maturity Wave Hits Utilities and Satellite Sectors →
- Duke Energy and Eutelsat Lead $2.5B Global Debt Refinancing Wave as Corporate Balance Sheet Optimization Accelerates →
- European Corporate Debt Refinancing Accelerates as Eutelsat Closes €1.5B Credit Line Amid Global Restructuring Wave →
- Eutelsat's €1.5B Refinancing Leads Global Corporate Debt Wave as Q1 2026 M&A Activity Surges →
- Global Utilities and Telecoms Rush to Refinance $2B+ in Debt Ahead of 2026-2028 Maturities →
